Governor of This State Makes Small Move That Could Have Huge Impact on Presidential Election
This one little move could potentially tip the 2016 Presidential election.
Ex-Chairman of Hillary Clinton’s 2008 Presidential Campaign, and now Governor of Virginia, Terry McAuliffe granted the right to vote to 200,000 ex-felons in Virginia.
There was considerable fretting — or satisfaction — over Gov. Terry McAuliffe’s decision Friday to re-enfranchise 200,000 ex-felons in Virginia.
The state will be one of the central battlegrounds this November, and it is widely believed that ex-felons will vote heavily for Democrats. (More than half are African-Americans, a big voting bloc for the party.) And the big number of newly enfranchised voters is actually larger than Mr. Obama’s 149,298-vote margin of victory there in 2012.
But the electoral effect of felon re-enfranchisement is likely to be modest. The best-case scenario for Democrats might be that they improve their popular vote margin by a half-point. That’s a big deal, but only in a close election.
The reason is deceptively straightforward. Ex-felons are less likely to vote than nonfelons, even when ex-felons are eligible to vote.
Fitting isn’t it…
Ex-felons electing a future felon.